Kolkata: In a big political growth forward of the West Bengal meeting polls in 2021, Lok Sabha lawmaker Asaduddin Owaisi’s All India Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen (AIMIM) is getting assist from an influential Muslim cleric within the state, Abbas Siddiqui.
Analysts say the AIMIM and Abbas Siddiqui congruity spells hassle for chief minister Mamata Banerjee because the Muslim vote share, which helped her oust the Left Front in 2011, is inevitably going to be divided.
Both Owaisi and Siddiqui have determined to contest the polls. While Siddiqui is reportedly going to struggle on almost 50 meeting seats, the AIMIM is but to resolve on the variety of seats it plans to contest.
Siddiqui is an influential cleric of the Furfura Darbar Sharif situated in Jangipara in Hooghly district and his choice to contest the 2021 state elections and increasing assist to Owaisi is a priority for the ruling Trinamool Congress as a consequence of inevitable division in Muslim votes, political observers say.
Siddiqui in some public conferences stated he’s a “fan” of Asaduddin Owaisi. Though he has been important of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), his choice to contest the meeting polls is probably going to assist the saffron brigade.
Speaking to the Information18, a madrasa trainer near Siddiqui stated, “We are in talks with several ground leaders and we have decided to contest the polls in at least 50 seats. It could be more as the final decision is yet to be taken.”
On the matter of Asaduddin Owaisi, he stated, “Yes, we are supporting him and trying to work out some political formula to contest the polls. We have decided to contest because we thought that it is the only way to fight against those who are trying to create a division in our society on the basis of religion.”
With a greater than 31 per cent vote share, Muslims are undeniably an important consider West Bengal.
They have been decisive in continuation of the Left rule until TMC chief Mamata Banerjee got here to energy in 2011.
Mamata is aware of effectively that any important division within the Muslim vote share – a deciding consider almost 90 meeting seats out of the 294 within the state – may jeopardise her Mission 2021.
“Abbas Siddiqui is an influential leader among the Muslim community and on many occasions he has openly supported AIMIM. Now, if both of them (Abbas and AIMIM) will contest then our vote share will reduce to insignificance. It is going to be a big headache for us,” a senior TMC chief stated.
Owaisi sees big political alternative in Bengal and since 2011 his celebration has slowly been working within the areas of the state bordering Bangladesh the place the Muslim inhabitants is excessive.
After profitable the Kishanganj meeting seat in Bihar for the primary time throughout a bypoll final 12 months, Owaisi paid extra consideration in direction of Bengal. Though he’s but to launch AIMIM formally within the state, Owaisi has already partaking with the native youths to unfold AIMIM’s ideology and the celebration’s stand in direction of Muslims primarily in Kolkata, North Dinajpur, Malda, Murshidabad, Jalpaiguri and Nadia districts.
When contacted, AIMIM’s West Bengal head Jamirul Hassan stated, “We are certainly going to contest the elections in Bengal but the number of seats will be decided only after the Bihar polls. There are some influential Muslim clerics in Bengal who are extending their support to us. We are also in talks with a mainstream political party to contest the polls together in Bengal. We will announce our decision at an appropriate time.”
In the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, the state witnessed polarised two-way voting. The BJP made a Hindutva push, whereas the TMC banked on Muslims. Such was the polarisation that even the Matuas, sturdy supporters of the TMC until then, voted for the BJP for elevating the difficulty of citizenship.
While the schism got here as concern for the Trinamool with Hindu votes gravitating in direction of the BJP, Abbas Siddiqui and AIMIM’s plan to contest subsequent 12 months’s meeting polls may very well be a boon for the saffron celebration as a result of imminent splintering of Muslim votes.
In 2019, the TMC bought 43 per cent votes regardless of dropping 12 seats, which is 5 per cent extra, due to Muslim assist, as in comparison with the 2014 Lok Sabha polls. In 2014, the TMC bought 34 seats, whereas in 2019 it may safe solely 22.
On the opposite hand, within the 2016 meeting elections, the BJP’s vote share was 12 per cent and within the 2019 Lok Sabha polls it went as much as 39 per cent, primarily due to Hindus gravitating in direction of it.
In West Bengal, Kolkata metropolis has a virtually 22 per cent Muslim inhabitants whereas the very best, almost 67 per cent, is in Murshidabad district. The second and third highest Muslim populations are in Malda (52 per cent) and North Dinajpur (51 per cent).
West Bengal accounts for the second highest Muslim inhabitants in India, which is almost 2.47 crore, or about 27.5 per cent of residents.
In the 2016 meeting polls, the TMC was forward in almost 90 minority-dominated meeting segments. In densely Muslim- populated areas, comprising greater than 40 per cent of the citizens, the Trinamool was forward in almost 60 out of 65 such constituencies.